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Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach

Muhammad Tariq Mahmood, Sadaf Shahab and Saad Ali Rabbani

Journal of Accounting and Finance in Emerging Economies, 2020, vol. 6, issue 3, 713-721

Abstract: Monetary policy is a significant component of economic management, with which we can control higher inflation, boost the economic growth and stabilize the other macroeconomic activities. This study investigates the channels of monetary policy affecting the industrial production using monthly data of Pakistan. In this regard, we have applied Bound test for co-integration to investigate the dynamic behaviour of the variables. Our results indicate that the consumer prices, money supply and money market rates are negatively effective for industrial production in the short-run. On the other hand, exchange rate has positive effect in short-run. The results also indicate that there is statistically significant and positive relationship between industrial output and money supply in the long-run, too. The adjustment mechanism suggests stability in the system and is statistically significant. Our results imply that the authorities should use expansionary monetary stance through money supply channel to boost the industrial sector.

Keywords: Monetary policy; Industrial production; ARDL; expansionary (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:src:jafeec:v:6:y:2020:i:3:p:713-721

DOI: 10.26710/jafee.v6i3.1351

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