Do consumers have imperfect recollection about airline safety?

Jay Squalli

Applied Economics Letters, 2005, vol. 12, issue 3, 169-176

Abstract: The inquiry examines whether consumers exhibit imperfect recollection about airline accidents. The state of the world is modelled with a Poisson distribution that updates over time. It is found that passengers of small carriers forget about accidents over time, thus leading to a 539% cumulative increase in enplanement while passengers of large carriers do not exhibit such a behaviour.

Date: 2005
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DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323631

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