Predictive content of the stock market for output revisited
Gabe de Bondt
Applied Economics Letters, 2009, vol. 16, issue 13, 1289-1294
Abstract:
In-sample and out-of-sample evidence for major countries shows that stock price determinants (earnings, risk-free interest rate and equity risk premium) accurately predict real Gross Domestic Product beyond 1 year compared to the stock price index, dividend yield, price/earnings ratio and the Fed model.
Date: 2009
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1289-1294
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DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481821
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