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Inflation uncertainty and money demand

Matthew Higgins and Shohreh Majin

Applied Economics Letters, 2009, vol. 16, issue 13, 1323-1328

Abstract: We enter inflation uncertainty into error-correction models (EC) of US M1 and M2 money demand. We estimate the models using an instrumental variables procedure that is robust to mis-specification of inflation uncertainty. We find inflation uncertainty has a negative effect on M1 demand and a positive effect on M2 demand. Our results suggest that when confronted with increased inflation uncertainty, agents substitute away from M1 and to the interest bearing components of M2.

Date: 2009
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DOI: 10.1080/13504850701452023

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