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A Bayesian spatial probit estimation of Free Trade Agreement contagion

Dany Jaimovich

Applied Economics Letters, 2012, vol. 19, issue 6, 579-583

Abstract: This article analyses the spatial interdependence of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) in a cross-section framework using the Contagion Index proposed by Baldwin and Jaimovich (2010). A Bayesian heteroskedastic probit model is estimated, where a spatial lag is built based on the Contagion Index , finding evidence of interdependence related with a domino-like effect. I compare the results with other spatial specifications previously used in the literature.

Date: 2012
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Working Paper: A Bayesian spatial probit estimation of Free Trade Agreement contagion (2010) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587958

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