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Long-term effects of global oil price changes on the macroeconomy and financial markets: a comparative panel co-integration approach

M. Ali Sotoudeh and Andrew Worthington

Applied Economics Letters, 2015, vol. 22, issue 12, 960-966

Abstract: In this article, we evaluate the long-term co-integrating relationships between global oil prices (OP) and selected macroeconomic and financial market variables between large net oil-consuming (NOC) and net oil-producing (NOP) countries. Our findings indicate that as opposed to NOP countries, the macroeconomies of NOC countries have long-term co-integrating relationships with OP. However, the financial markets of both country panels exhibit long-term co-integrating relationships with OP. Finally, excluding the case of the consumer price index, the sample economies, whether NOC or NOP, respond to global OP shocks very similarly.

Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.990617

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