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Do stock returns hedge inflation at long horizons?

Adrian Austin and Swarna Dutt

Applied Economics Letters, 2016, vol. 23, issue 13, 936-939

Abstract: We investigate the long-horizon relationship between market returns and inflation in the United States. Conventional tests for long horizon predictability may reject the null too frequently when the predictor variable is highly persistent and endogenous and there are overlapping observations. We use a recently developed econometric technique designed to overcome these problems. We find little to no evidence that securities are able to hedge inflation.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1122725

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