A national or local phenomenon? A comparison of the US and the Chinese housing markets

Peng Chen and Fu Wang

Applied Economics Letters, 2017, vol. 24, issue 12, 841-845

Abstract: This article investigates the common movements of house prices across cities as well as the macroeconomic underpinnings of the comovements in the US and China. Our empirical results indicate more differences than similarities between the US and the Chinese housing markets. The results from a Bayesian dynamic latent factor model indicate that the fluctuations of house prices across cities in the US are more a national phenomenon, while the dynamics of house prices across cities in China are mainly driven by the city-specific component. We further use VAR models to compare the roles of the underlying determinants in these two housing markets. The results show that the roles of monetary policy shocks and aggregate fluctuations in driving the common movements of house prices across cities differ substantially between the US and China at both short and long horizons.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1234691

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