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US monetary policy shocks and the Chinese economy: a GVAR approach

Yujiang Bi and Sajid Anwar

Applied Economics Letters, 2017, vol. 24, issue 8, 553-558

Abstract: Using a global vector auto regressive (GVAR) methodology, this article examines the impact of US monetary policy shocks on China’s major macroeconomic indicators. Our analysis reveals that a positive shock to the US money supply growth rate initially increases China’s inflation rate but after some time this effect completely disappears. This shock also raises China’s short-term interest rate and the Chinese currency appreciates against the US dollar. A positive shock to the US short-term interest rate increases China’s short-term interest rate but the real output growth and inflation rates decline and the Chinese currency appreciates.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1210761

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