Quantitative easing and asset bubbles

John H. Huston and Roger W. Spencer

Applied Economics Letters, 2018, vol. 25, issue 6, 369-374

Abstract: Expansionary monetary policy is necessary to respond to financial crises. However, if Central Bank asset purchase initiatives are too large or last too long, they can lead to explosive increases in asset prices which add to the risk of a future crisis. This article employs two models including the Campbell–Shiller and Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller techniques to search for bubbles in the US equity, housing and bond markets over the past eight years. Although, we find that prices in equities and housing have risen following Federal Reserve intervention, there is little indication of asset price bubbles. There is evidence of explosive bond price increases from September of 2011 to February of 2013.

Date: 2018
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1324604

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