Which countries show favour towards negative, zero or positive population growth?

Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi and Akira Shimada

Applied Economics Letters, 2019, vol. 26, issue 4, 295-301

Abstract: This article develops an overlapping generations model with eldercare by migrants and children in the context of the ageing problem and examines what conditions cause people to prefer a negative, zero or positive population growth rate. We find that a wage ratio of around 0.7 for eldercare by migrants can explain well the coexistence of negative, zero and positive population growth rates in the European Union. A country that does not need eldercare and has an optimistic view of the future will have a positive population growth rate. Other countries will have zero or negative population growth rates.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1467548

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