Antecedents of war: the geopolitics of low oil prices and decelerating financial liquidity
Hany Abdel-Latif () and
Applied Economics Letters, 2019, vol. 26, issue 9, 765-769
We investigate the joint dynamics of oil prices, financial liquidity and geopolitical risk, within a multi-country global vector autoregressive model. We find that low oil prices are expected to trigger higher levels of geopolitical risk and that decelerating financial liquidity serves as an accelerator.
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