Antecedents of war: the geopolitics of low oil prices and decelerating financial liquidity

Hany Abdel-Latif () and Mahmoud El-Gamal

Applied Economics Letters, 2019, vol. 26, issue 9, 765-769

Abstract: We investigate the joint dynamics of oil prices, financial liquidity and geopolitical risk, within a multi-country global vector autoregressive model. We find that low oil prices are expected to trigger higher levels of geopolitical risk and that decelerating financial liquidity serves as an accelerator.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1494802

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