Covid-19’s effect on the alpha and beta of a US stock Exchange Traded Fund

Kang Hua Cao, Chi-Keung Woo, Ya Li and Yun Liu

Applied Economics Letters, 2022, vol. 29, issue 2, 123-128

Abstract: This paper is a first look of Covid-19’s effect on the alpha and beta of a US stock exchange traded fund. It uses the efficient market hypothesis and the J-test of non-nested hypotheses to identify a reasonable choice of Covid-19 data for estimating CAPM regressions. Obtained through the generalized method of moments in a panel data analysis, a reasonable choice is Covid-19 spread’s unanticipated severity. Rising unanticipated severity significantly reduces the alphas and betas of mid-cap and small-cap ETFs but not large-cap and sector & speciality ETFs. Hence, retail investors should not market time or panic liquidate, especially when successful vaccination development is likely in the near future.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1859447

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