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Political instability and country risk: new evidence

Jakob de Haan, Clemens Siermann and Erna Van Lubek

Applied Economics Letters, 1997, vol. 4, issue 11, 703-707

Abstract: This note presents new estimates of a probit model for the debt rescheduling, using a sample of 65 countries over the period 1984-93. Apart from economic variables, a whole range of indicators for political instability are included in the model as explanatory variables. It turns out, that none is significant with the 'correct' sign. Apparently, a detoriation of the political situation is already reflected in economic aggregates, which suggest that the influence of political factors is discounted in macroeconomic variables as included in the model.

Date: 1997
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DOI: 10.1080/758530653

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