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Seasonal adjustment and cointegrating relationships: consumption and income

Steven Cook

Applied Economics Letters, 2000, vol. 7, issue 8, 549-551

Abstract: The cointegrated nature of UK consumption and income is examined using 'official' seasonally adjusted data and data which have been seasonally adjusted using an alternative well-established method. It is found that the presence of cointegrating relationship is dependent upon the method of adjustment used, a result reflecting the warnings of Wallis (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63, 18-31, 1974). This result has major implications given the plethora of cointegration studies conducted using seasonally adjusted data.

Date: 2000
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DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033364

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