US monetary policy announcements and Irish stock market volatility

Don Bredin, Caroline Gavin and Gerard O'Reilly

Applied Financial Economics, 2005, vol. 15, issue 17, 1243-1250

Abstract: The influence of foreign monetary policy decisions on the volatility of the Irish stock market is investigated. Specifically, the influence of US monetary policy announcements on the ISEQ is examined. Evidence of the so-called calm before the storm is found, i.e., there appears to be a decline in volatility on the day prior to an FOMC meeting and a subsequent increase in volatility after the results of the FOMC meeting is made known. Also evidence is found to suggest that ISEQ volatility is influenced by surprise changes in US monetary policy. Moreover, US monetary surprises appear to affect Irish stock return volatility asymmetrically with a surprise tightening of US monetary policy leading to an increase in Irish stock return volatility. This paper represents an important step in addressing the issues of spillover identification between the USA and the Irish stock market.

Date: 2005
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DOI: 10.1080/09603100500390836

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