Hedging of Spatial Temperature Risk with Market-Traded Futures
Andrea Barth,
Fred Espen Benth and
Jurgen Potthoff
Applied Mathematical Finance, 2011, vol. 18, issue 2, 93-117
Abstract:
The main objective of this work is to construct optimal temperature futures from available market-traded contracts to hedge spatial risk. Temperature dynamics are modelled by a stochastic differential equation with spatial dependence. Optimal positions in market-traded futures minimizing the variance are calculated. Examples with numerical simulations based on a fast algorithm for the generation of random fields are presented.
Keywords: Temperature futures; Hedging; Spatio-temporal random fields; Heating and cooling degree-days; Stochastic simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:apmtfi:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:93-117
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DOI: 10.1080/13504861003722385
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