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Transparent US monetary policy: theory and tests

Marc D. Hayford and Anastasios Malliaris

Applied Economics, 2012, vol. 44, issue 7, 813-824

Abstract: In 1994, the Federal Reserve System moved to a more transparent reporting of monetary policy. This article assesses the impact of monetary policy transparency on uncertainty about future monetary policy using T-bill rate forecast dispersions and ex post forecast errors from the Survey of Professional Forecasters as a proxy for monetary policy uncertainty. The empirical findings confirm that Federal Reserve transparency has reduced the uncertainty about future monetary policy.

Date: 2012
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DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524628

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