Electronics and growth cycles in Singapore

Tilak Abeysinghe

Applied Economics, 2000, vol. 32, issue 13, 1657-1663

Abstract: With the help of spectral and structural time series analyses it is found that the demand for electronics in the USA goes through a cycle with a period of about four to five years. Because of the synchronized nature of the electronics market, the global demand for electronics is likely to follow a similar cycle. The electronics cycle is unlikely to be caused by a regular business cycle. The major cause of the electronics cycle appears to be a product cycle which results from the introduction of new products to the market. As a result countries like Singapore which depend heavily on electronics exports may face roller coaster rides, especially in their manufacturing growth. Product diversification is the best solution to the problem.

Date: 2000
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DOI: 10.1080/000368400421002

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