Forecast output coincidence and biproportion: two criteria to determine the orientation of an economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997)

Louis de Mesnard

Applied Economics, 2002, vol. 34, issue 16, 2085-2091

Abstract: The method of forecast output coincidence used to determine if sectors are demandsided or supply-sided in an input-output framework mixes two effects, the structural effect (choosing between demand and supply side models) and the effect of an exogenous factor (final demand or added-value). The note recalls that another method is possible, the comparison of the stability of technical and allocation coefficients, generalized by the biproportional filter: if for a sector, after biproportional filtering, column coefficients are more stable than row coefficients, then this sector is declared as not supply-sided (but one cannot decide that it is demand-sided anyway), and conversely.

Date: 2002
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Working Paper: Forecast Output Coincidence and Biproportion: Two Criteria to Determine the Orientation of an Economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997) (2002)
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DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128771

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