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A SETAR model for Canadian GDP: non-linearities and forecast comparisons

Hui Feng and Jia Liu

Applied Economics, 2003, vol. 35, issue 18, 1957-1964

Abstract: This paper investigates the forecasting performance of the non-linear time series SETAR model by using Canadian GDP data from 1965 to 2000. Besides the within-sample fit, the forecasting performance of a standard linear ARIMA model for the same sample has also been generated for comparative purposes. Two forecasting methods, one-step-ahead and multi-step-ahead forecasting, are compared for each type of model.

Date: 2003
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DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000160674

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