Confidence and the real economy - the Japanese case
Atsuo Utaka
Applied Economics, 2003, vol. 35, issue 3, 337-342
Abstract:
This paper empirically analyses whether consumer confidence has an effect on the real economy in Japan. This paper uses vector autoregressions including variables which represent consumer confidence. It is shown that in the cases of quarterly and monthly data, consumer confidence has a significant effect on GDP fluctuations, whereas in the case of semiannual data, it has no effect. In other words, consumer confidence has an effect on only short-term economic fluctuations.
Date: 2003
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DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135205
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