An analysis of new firm survival using a hazard function

P. Holmes, A. Hunt and I. Stone

Applied Economics, 2010, vol. 42, issue 2, 185-195

Abstract: A unique data set is used to provide a detailed examination of the survival of newly established manufacturing firms in north-east England. Using data on 781 firms established between 1973 and 2001, log-logistic hazard models are estimated separately for (i) micro-enterprises and (ii) small and medium establishments (SMEs). Both micro-enterprises and SMEs show clear evidence of positive duration dependence, followed by negative duration dependence. We find the two firm types are differentially affected by firm-specific and macro-economic variables. Increases in initial plant size impact negatively on micro-enterprise survival and positively on SME survival.

Date: 2010
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DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579234

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