Time series approaches to Italian regional convergence

Marcella D'Uva and Rita De Siano ()

Applied Economics, 2011, vol. 43, issue 29, 4549-4559

Abstract: This article investigates the evolution of the gap between Italian regions and Italy as a whole during the period of 1980 to 2007. We tested for the presence of the stochastic and β-convergence hypotheses using different time series approaches. The former was studied, first, for the entire sample period and then, with an exogenous instantaneous break in the series. The presence of β-convergence, instead, was estimated considering a known and an unknown trend break date model. Our results show that most of the regions do not converge in an 'actual' way, since they do not present a stochastic and β-convergence simultaneously.

Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491473

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