EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The forecasting power of real interest rate gaps: an assessment for the Euro area

Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier ()

Applied Economics, 2011, vol. 43, issue 2, 153-172

Abstract: The real Interest Rate Gap (IRG)-the gap between the short-term real interest rate and its 'natural' level-is a theoretical concept that has attracted much attention in central banks in recent years. This article aims at clarifying its practical relevance for monetary policy in real time. For this purpose, it provides an empirical assessment of the usefulness of a semi-structural versus purely statistical estimates of the real IRG for predicting policy relevant macroeconomic variables in the Euro area. However mixed, the results confirm that semi-structural estimates of the real IRG deserve being added to the central banks' toolbox.

Date: 2011
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802481868 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:153-172

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/RAEC20

Access Statistics for this article

Applied Economics is currently edited by Anita Phillips

More articles in Applied Economics from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().

 
Page updated 2018-06-16
Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:153-172