Measuring the Chinese business cycle

R. Becker and Y. Wang

Applied Economics, 2013, vol. 45, issue 28, 3988-4003

Abstract: This article documents the business cycle characteristics of the Chinese economy by adopting both nonparametric and parametric methodologies. The two approaches are applied to relevant macroeconomics indicators -- Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Industrial Production (IP) indices -- aiming to investigate the growth cycle (deviation cycle). We provide a clear chronology of the Chinese growth cycle. One significant characteristic of the Chinese growth cycle is the relatively direct influence of government policies. However, recently these policy effects have become less significant when compared to global economic influences. Our study provides an enhanced understanding of the properties of business cycle dating algorithms and as such contributes to future Chinese business cycle research.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.744135

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