Pegging emerging currencies in the face of dollar swings

Virginie Coudert (), Cécile Couharde () and Valérie Mignon ()

Applied Economics, 2013, vol. 45, issue 36, 5076-5085

Abstract: The aim of this article is to study ruptures of exchange rate pegs by focusing on the fluctuations of the anchor currency. We test for the hypothesis that currencies linked to the USD are more likely to loosen their peg when the USD is appreciating, while sticking to it otherwise. To this end, we estimate smooth-transition regression models for a sample of 28 emerging currencies over the 1994--2011 period. Our findings show that while the real effective exchange rates of most of these countries tend to co-move with that of the USD in times of depreciation, this relationship is frequently reversed when the US currency appreciates over a certain threshold.

Date: 2013
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Working Paper: Pegging emerging currencies in the face of dollar swings (2013)
Working Paper: Pegging emerging currencies in the face of dollar swings (2013)
Working Paper: Pegging emerging currencies in the face of dollar swings (2013)
Working Paper: Pegging emerging currencies in the face of dollar swings (2012)
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DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.818215

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