Baltic Dry Index and iron ore spot market: dynamics and interactions

Yimiao Gu, Zhenxi Chen and Donald Lien

Applied Economics, 2019, vol. 51, issue 35, 3855-3863

Abstract: Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is often included in the iron ore spot price. Iron ore market experienced a transition in pricing mechanism from the annual negotiated price to the one based on spot market price in 2008/2009. This paper investigates the dynamics of and the interactions between BDI and iron ore spot price in the regime of the new pricing mechanism. In addition to controlled variables, we find significant spillover interactions between BDI and the iron ore market. We also detect mean-reversion movement in the iron ore market, signalling certain inefficiency in the market pricing.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584384

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