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The impact of mechanization on crop production in China

Fangbin Qiao

Applied Economics, 2023, vol. 55, issue 15, 1728-1741

Abstract: The rapid development of mechanization has been well reported, but its impact on China’s agricultural production remains unclear. This study first uses a theoretical model to analyse the impact of mechanization on sown areas of different crops. The results show that mechanization has a positive impact on grain crops and a negative impact on non-grain crops. Then using nationally representative provincial-level panel data, the empirical analyses confirm these results. Thus, the sown areas of cotton, oil and sugar crops will be reduced by more than 20% within five years. Consequently, China is expected to depend on international markets to meet the domestic demand for cotton, oil and sugar in the future. Even though mechanization has a positive impact on the sown areas of grain crops, a reduction in the diversity of grain production poses a new threat to the stability of China’s grain production and food security.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099524

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