Does the dynamics between government bond and equity markets validate the adaptive market hypothesis? evidence from transfer entropy

Aviral Tiwari, Sangram Keshari Jena, Emmanuel Abakah and Seong-Min Yoon

Applied Economics, 2024, vol. 56, issue 2, 186-201

Abstract: The study applies the effective transfer entropy (ETE) and Renyi transfer entropy (RTE) to quantify the information flow between government bonds and equity market of G7 countries. The magnitude and direction of information flow between these two markets are dynamic across the state of the markets and time thus confirming their adaptiveness to the evolution of cross-market information flow under different market conditions over time. Although information flow from the equity dominates the flow from the bond market, it is dynamic over the time and state of the markets. However, during the period of market turbulence, the bond dominates the equity market. This study is the first of its kind to validate the adaptive market hypothesis using the novel transfer entropy framework in the bond and equity market.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166896

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