Gravity Models of Interregional Migration in Indonesia

Nashrul Wajdi, Sri Moertiningsih Adioetomo and Clara H. Mulder

Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 2017, vol. 53, issue 3, 309-332

Abstract: This article explores the determinants of interregional migration in Indonesia. Employing basic and modified (extended) gravity models, and using data from the 2000 and 2010 Population Censuses and the 2005 Intercensal Population Survey, we test Long’s (1985) hypothesis that in the early stages of population redistribution, economic development is positively related to a concentration of the population. Using per-capita GDP as a proxy for income and as an indicator of economic development, we find that migration in Indonesia is indeed directed towards more developed regions. This finding supports the notion that regional disparities in development are an important factor in interregional migration in Indonesia. In line with classical gravity models, our findings show that distance is negatively related to the size of migration flows. However, unlike previous studies of interprovincial migration in Indonesia, we find that the effect of distance has weakened over time.

Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:bindes:v:53:y:2017:i:3:p:309-332

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DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2017.1298719

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