Imagining maritime conflict in the Indo-Pacific: can analogies substitute for strategy?

James J. Wirtz

Defense & Security Analysis, 2022, vol. 38, issue 3, 349-368

Abstract: Historical analogies are sometimes used to imagine the scope and nature of a potential conflict in the Indo-Pacific. Using analogies, scenarios, and “images” of future war, instead of strategy, however, can produce an inadequate assessment of future material, operational, and tactical requirements that will be encountered by the U.S. Navy in the maritime domain. Without a long-term strategy to set force development and guide operational requirements, the U.S. Navy will suffer from a “strategy deficit” when it comes to dealing with deterrence, coercion, and escalation in the Indo-Pacific. As planning guidance, the use of analogies is no substitute for strategy.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1080/14751798.2022.2093433

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