Arms acquisition in the Baltic States and transfers to Ukraine: balancing national security

Donatas Palavenis

Defense & Security Analysis, 2024, vol. 40, issue 2, 167-189

Abstract: Three Baltic States (3Bs), like most eastern NATO countries, treat the war in Ukraine as a strong national interest: if Russia is stopped in Ukraine, it will not be capable of inflicting any harm to them. As a result, national decision-makers are making hard choices on which military capabilities need to be transferred to Ukraine and what must remain for national needs. The results indicate that 3Bs Defence Ministers understand the importance of supporting Ukraine with lethal and non-lethal items. 3Bs acquire major arms from various countries with different spending levels and have limited ability for combined procurement opportunities, although they seek to develop similar military capabilities. It is assessed that 3Bs will not deliver newly acquired major arms to Ukraine and will continue delivering reliable legacy systems. Therefore, allocating funds for combined major arms procurements implemented by the third party like the U.K.-led International Fund for Ukraine, is the most viable option to continue supporting Ukraine.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1080/14751798.2024.2315810

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