Applying fuzzy techniques to cash flow analysis

A. H. Boussabaine and Taha Elhag

Construction Management and Economics, 1999, vol. 17, issue 6, 745-755

Abstract: Construction managers are interested in the direction of movement of cash flow at valuation periods rather than its forecast value, and fuzzy set theory applied to decision making might help in this process. Fuzzy models are particularly suited to making decisions involving new technologies where uncertainties inherent in the situation are complex. The problem of healthy cash flow at valuation periods relates to the proper estimation of cash in and out flows and project progress. The paper presents an alternative approach to cash flow analysis for construction projects. This project is based on the assumption that cash flow at particular valuation stages of a project is ambiguous. The paper discusses the weaknesses of existing methods for cash flow and establishes the need for an alternative approach. Using an example of 30 cash flow curves, the advantage of fuzzy cash flow analysis is demonstrated. Results of the analysis are presented and discussed. The model can be used to analyse the cash flow curve of projects at any progress period to make sure it is reasonable.

Keywords: Fuzzy; Cash Flow; Valuation; Fuzzy Techniques; Progress (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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DOI: 10.1080/014461999371088

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