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The military recruiting productivity slowdown: The roles of resources, opportunity cost and the tastes of youth*

John Warner, Curtis Simon and Deborah Payne

Defence and Peace Economics, 2003, vol. 14, issue 5, 329-342

Abstract: After a decade of successful recruiting, the US military began experiencing recruiting difficulties in the 1990s. Cyclical factors as well as trend factors may have played a role. This paper uses monthly data by state over the period 1989-1997 to estimate models of enlistment and evaluate the various explanations for the recruiting slowdown. Estimates of the impact of economic variables - relative military pay and unemployment - and recruiting resource variables - recruiters and advertising - are similar to those in previous studies. Two trend factors, rising college attendance and declining adult veteran population (influencers), are found to be important factors explaining the decline in enlistment.

Keywords: Us Military; Recruitment; Opportunity Cost (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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DOI: 10.1080/10242690302923

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