FORCE AND BIAS: TOWARDS A PREDICTIVE MODEL OF EFFECTIVE THIRD-PARTY INTERVENTION

Dane Rowlands and David Carment

Defence and Peace Economics, 2006, vol. 17, issue 5, 435-456

Abstract: Throughout the 1990s multilateral interventions often deviated significantly from traditional peacekeeping in terms of mandate complexity, level of force, and the absence of consent and impartiality. This paper develops a formal model of biased intervention and specifies propositions regarding its effects on combatant behaviour. We find that the response to the intervener depends on the how the combatants divide their labour resources between production and fighting, the amount of resources the intervener transfers between the combatants, and the degree to which the intervener's military efforts affect the effectiveness of the combatant's military forces. NATO's intervention in Kosovo is then used as a case study to illustrate the strengths and weaknesses of the model. Finally, we identify the theoretical and policy-relevant implications of the model and outline directions for future research.

Keywords: Peacekeeping; Conflict intervention; Biased intervention; Third-party interveners (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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DOI: 10.1080/10242690600888213

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