TERRORISM: FACTS FROM FIGURES

Ian Bellany

Defence and Peace Economics, 2007, vol. 18, issue 2, 101-112

Abstract: If international terrorism is on a rising trend, an important source of confirmation or refutation of this is time-series data on terrorist activity. Using chiefly data collected by the RAND/MIPT consortium we show using basic statistical analysis that in the period 1968-2005 the yearly number of all international terrorist incidents shows no trend over time, but fluctuates year on year in a random manner. On the other hand some indicators do show a definite trend over time, principally the steady rise in the number of incidents that are death-dealing in nature. A further conclusion is drawn, showing that the proportion of these incidents leading to deaths above a given level is virtually fixed.

Keywords: Terrorism; data; trends (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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DOI: 10.1080/10242690601143436

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