ECONOMIC GROWTH AND VIOLENT INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT: 1875-1999

Charles Boehmer

Defence and Peace Economics, 2010, vol. 21, issue 3, 249-268

Abstract: Are states with growing economies more likely to become involved in violent interstate conflicts? This project examines whether economic growth increases international conflict using a global sample of states from 1875-1999. The theory argues that multi-year economic growth increases the resolve of state leaders to reciprocate and escalate militarized interstate conflicts, thus increasing the occurrence of fatalities or war. The results show that economic growth, but not growth of military expenditures, raises the risk of violent interstate conflicts. The results do not support the proposition that economic slowdowns result in violent interstate conflicts.

Keywords: War; Economic growth; Military expenditures; GDP growth; Long-term growth; Military crises; Diversionary conflict; Internal conflict; Civil conflict (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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DOI: 10.1080/10242690903568801

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