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INTELLIGENT MACHINE TECHNOLOGY AND PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH

David Leech and John Scott

Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 2008, vol. 17, issue 7-8, 677-687

Abstract: This paper provides preliminary estimates of the productivity impact of intelligent machine technology (IMT) and the rate of return to IMT research and development (R&D) over the next two decades. The paper adapts economists' traditional productivity growth model to enable the use of industrial experts' forecasts of a few key parameters of the model to form the estimates of productivity growth and rate of return. Respondents - from a sample of firms operating in IMT development and applications in the automotive, aerospace, and capital construction industries - anticipate that IMT will generate substantial productivity growth over the next two decades, and the estimated social rates of return to IMT R&D are substantial.

Keywords: Intelligent machine technology; Productivity growth; Research and development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1080/10438590701785637

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