Bayesian Inference in Cointegrated I (2) Systems: A Generalization of the Triangular Model
Rodney Strachan
Econometric Reviews, 2007, vol. 26, issue 2-4, 439-468
Abstract:
This paper generalizes the cointegrating model of Phillips (1991) to allow for I (0), I (1) and I (2) processes. The model has a simple form that permits a wider range of I (2) processes than are usually considered, including a more flexible form of polynomial cointegration. Further, the specification relaxes restrictions identified by Phillips (1991) on the I (1) and I (2) cointegrating vectors and restrictions on how the stochastic trends enter the system. To date there has been little work on Bayesian I (2) analysis and so this paper attempts to address this gap in the literature. A method of Bayesian inference in potentially I (2) processes is presented with application to Australian money demand using a Jeffreys prior and a shrinkage prior.
Keywords: Cointegration; Bayesian; I (2) Analysis; Money demand (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Working Paper: Bayesian Inference in Cointegrated I (2) Systems: a Generalisation of the Triangular Model (2005) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:26:y:2007:i:2-4:p:439-468
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DOI: 10.1080/07474930701220618
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