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A Note on the Predictability of UK Stock Returns

David Lovatt, Andrew Boswell and Reza Noor

The European Journal of Finance, 2007, vol. 13, issue 2, 159-164

Abstract: This note presents evidence on the predictability of UK stock returns using a database of companies in the FTSE-Allshare Index newly constructed towards the beginning of 1998. The tests used are autocorrelations at various lags and variance ratios for several aggregations of base observations. The evidence is consistent with that published for US stock returns, namely that daily stock returns contain a strong element of predictability.

Keywords: UK daily stock returns; autocorrelations; variance ratios (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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DOI: 10.1080/13518470500378107

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