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UK stock price effects of permanent and transitory shocks

Andrew Vivian and Mark Wohar ()

The European Journal of Finance, 2010, vol. 16, issue 7, 641-656

Abstract: This paper examines the dynamic relationship between stock prices and dividends using a structural cointegrated vector autoregression. The approach adopted fully identifies the system without imposing arbitrary restrictions and decomposes innovations into permanent and transitory components. Prior research indicates that transitory price shocks could lead to stock price predictability. Our key new empirical finding is that permanent dividend shocks could also lead to aggregate stock price predictability in the UK.

Keywords: stock prices; permanent dividend shock; cointegrated VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Journal Article: Stock Price Effects of Permanent and Transitory Shocks (1998)
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DOI: 10.1080/13518471003638682

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