The public purse as a reelection lever: does it work in a corrupt political environment? The case of Honduras

Lorenzo Estrada and Francisco Bastida

Local Government Studies, 2023, vol. 49, issue 1, 30-53

Abstract: Using a sample composed of the 298 Honduran municipalities for the period 2006–2014, we evaluate the impact of budgetary, political and socioeconomic factors on the probability of mayors’ re-election. The findings show that mayors who have initiated greater municipal spending are more likely to be re-elected (a $100 increase in real per capita expenditure increases re-election chances by 19.01%). This finding partially supports both public choice theory and the theory of political budget cycles: voters prefer increased spending. Furthermore, mayors with greater transfers from higher levels of government have more chance of being re-elected. When it comes to political factors, progressive parties and mayors with a majority have more chance of being re-elected.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1080/03003930.2021.1906230

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