Urban Irregular Warfare and Violence Against Civilians: Evidence From a Colombian City

Gonzalo Vargas

Terrorism and Political Violence, 2009, vol. 21, issue 1, 110-132

Abstract: This article uses the analytical model put forward by Kalyvas in his Logic of Violence in Civil War to explore the violent transition experienced by Barrancabermeja from 1998 onwards, when the increasing insurgent presence was curbed by paramilitary groups and government forces. While the model sheds light on the causal mechanisms that led to violence against civilians, it fails to predict some of the observed outcomes; these anomalies are discussed with a view to expanding its explanatory power. Furthermore, the paper highlights the relevance of socioeconomic factors and spatial segregation in predicting the distribution of violence.

Date: 2009
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DOI: 10.1080/09546550802551859

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