Alternative futures and foreign direct investment in China

Miron Mushkat

Global Economic Review, 2004, vol. 33, issue 1, 33-50

Abstract: Chinese history is littered with sharp policy swings, and the communist era, which has not yet fully drawn to a close, has witnessed a veritable embarrassment of riches. This has provided a fertile ground for researchers engaged in crystal ball gazing. Recently, momentum has accelerated on that front, a development apparently reflecting the increasingly fluid political-economic conditions in the country. The scenarios generated can serve as an effective reference point in planning exercises, but there is scope for solidifying the conceptual architecture. The issue of rendering them highly relevant to foreign investors, presumably very important potential consumers of the product, should also be addressed.

Keywords: scenario; beginning state; end state; process; critical uncertainties; driving forces (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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DOI: 10.1080/12265080408449840

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