A probabilistic model of the impact of cultural participation on social capital

Leonidas Sakalauskas, Vytautas Dulskis, Rimvydas Lauzikas, Arunas Miliauskas and Darius Plikynas

The Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 2021, vol. 45, issue 2, 65-78

Abstract: This study attempts to construct a computer-based probabilistic model of the social impact of cultural events, which may be useful for simulating and measuring social impact in a community context. Changes in social capital as a result of actors’ participation in cultural events are modeled, assuming that links exist between cultural participation and social capital measured using the methodology of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. The computer-based probabilistic model for simulation of the social impact of a cultural event flow is developed, and the model for a social impact assessment using statistical socio-cultural data is given. Finally, verification of the developed model is carried out by Monte Carlo-based computer-simulated case study, and the example of application to statistical cultural participation data is presented.

Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2020.1725002

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