Investor Overreaction to Analyst Reference Points

Jean-Sébastien Michel

Journal of Behavioral Finance, 2017, vol. 18, issue 3, 329-343

Abstract: The author documents analysts' reliance on the company-issued guidance range as a frame of reference in making their EPS forecasts. Analysts who use the guidance range as a reference may limit information diffusion to market participants by keeping their true beliefs private. The author therefore analyzes the stock market's reaction to analyst forecasting decisions, and finds that investors overreact to forecasts that are exactly equal to the minimum or maximum of the guidance range, but do not overreact to other types of forecasts. The evidence presented is most consistent with overreaction driven by overconfident investors who trade too much in the face of information uncertainty.

Date: 2017
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/15427560.2017.1342646 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:hbhfxx:v:18:y:2017:i:3:p:329-343

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/hbhf20

DOI: 10.1080/15427560.2017.1342646

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Behavioral Finance is currently edited by Brian Bruce

More articles in Journal of Behavioral Finance from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().