Remittances and Business Cycles: Comparison of South Asian Countries

Mazhar Mughal and Junaid Ahmed

International Economic Journal, 2014, vol. 28, issue 4, 513-541

Abstract: South Asia is one of the world's principal remittance-receiving regions. This study examines the home and host business cycles of migrant remittance flows to the region. Employing the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) technique, the remittance behaviour of the region's four main countries is compared. Remittances to India and Pakistan show a mainly acyclical behaviour with respect to the output of the four host regions, and a countercyclical behaviour with respect to home output. In contrast, remittances to the two smaller economies of Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are found to be mainly procyclical. The study shows that the macroeconomic remittance behaviour varies with respect to the importance of remittance flows in the home economy. Moreover, remittance behaviour seems to respond more to home economy specificities than to those of the different regions that host the migrants from the developing countries.

Date: 2014
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Working Paper: Remittances and Business Cycles: Comparison of South Asian Countries (2013)
Working Paper: Remittances and Business Cycles: Comparison of South Asian Countries (2013)
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DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2014.920895

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