Development of a framework for understanding unsold timber offerings from the US National Forest System

Gregory E. Frey, Philadelphia Wilkens and Sonia R. Bruck

Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 2024, vol. 67, issue 2, 267-290

Abstract: Timber sales from the US National Forest System (NFS) can provide ecological and economic benefits. Unsold (“no-bid”) offerings can result in delays, additional costs, and missed targets. We used mixed methods, including analysis of administrative data, synthesis of research, and semi-structured interviews to understand situations considered “no-bid” offerings by different stakeholders. We measured prevalence, identified causes, and generated a framework for communicating interlinkages. From 2007 to 2020, the volume not sold at first offering was 11.9% nationally. However, a substantial amount is sold subsequently, leaving 2.7% never sold. Regions with the highest percentage never sold include Alaska, Southwestern, and Pacific Southwest. A new conceptual framework developed from a literature review and interviews with NFS and industry employees identified proximate causes and underlying factors. Proximate causes include road construction, equipment requirements, and timber condition; whereas underlying factors include staffing, communication, and appraisal methods. These insights can aid communication and help develop future strategies.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1080/09640568.2022.2108387

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