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The conflicting impacts of export fluctuations and diversification programmes

Michael Webb

The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2005, vol. 14, issue 3, 271-280

Abstract: While analyses of export instability and diversification policies typically focus on aggregate earnings, a conflict can arise between income instability at the aggregate and household levels. Diversification can reduce a country's aggregate income instability and simultaneously increase the instability experienced by many households, and perhaps by every household in the country. We demonstrate how alternative export portfolios can produce this conflict in instability. The conflict means that the conclusions from previous empirical studies need to be qualified and policy recommendations need to be carefully formulated.

Keywords: Export; fluctuation; diversification; portfolio; instability; development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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DOI: 10.1080/09638190500202965

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The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development is currently edited by Pasquale Sgro, David E.A. Giles and Charles van Marrewijk

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